Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 972.187119 1106.214481 1257.447025 1441.820532 1661.994359 1918.330533 2242.049348
2025-03-16 766.501235 937.870604 1150.438403 1437.832969 1823.089728 2331.887059 3072.473846
2025-03-23 667.118881 855.532753 1104.281135 1465.233181 1990.555287 2752.503788 3992.168020
2025-03-30 574.690735 762.011762 1020.666584 1416.106810 2028.719147 2985.175320 4689.875316
2025-04-06 506.179799 689.488958 952.030556 1371.214060 2056.041862 3196.323664 5403.636080
2025-04-13 449.979875 626.618146 887.368305 1319.153252 2057.419949 3358.099592 6071.529564
2025-04-20 426.652738 608.723847 886.644369 1366.144512 2229.949237 3856.241303 7571.946200
2025-04-27 400.271854 582.839633 869.528227 1381.922653 2348.217081 4279.235396 9080.798016
2025-05-04 377.374997 559.777450 853.737984 1396.634830 2465.710337 4728.907156 10853.572614
2025-05-11 356.324798 537.463294 836.347621 1405.229288 2571.698662 5180.912290 12858.028965
2025-05-18 344.575610 529.154110 841.568648 1456.146791 2774.310990 5913.676438 16109.465503
2025-05-25 332.484428 519.019457 842.217261 1497.829178 2965.185890 6678.936196 20003.221076
2025-06-01 317.088804 502.473617 830.679730 1515.797314 3112.382680 7398.784610 24404.499580
2025-06-08 299.704094 481.100402 808.292513 1508.620625 3200.214373 7991.383004 28890.075270
2025-06-15 288.459057 469.679090 803.369030 1537.895861 3385.754341 8954.896672 36198.257292
2025-06-22 269.010961 441.812488 764.033703 1485.658375 3347.714965 9185.828500 39991.601846
2025-06-29 251.861395 417.005939 728.614887 1437.955606 3313.216521 9422.330043 44190.574092
2025-07-06 235.408441 392.445873 691.753333 1382.668120 3247.811628 9531.037377 47808.179096
2025-07-13 230.811291 389.905525 699.100736 1432.570298 3496.165359 10933.813897 63205.580292
2025-07-20 223.323255 381.270581 693.085289 1449.332229 3650.745844 12050.730423 79090.207527
2025-07-27 216.246510 372.933986 686.938672 1464.964594 3806.561723 13265.980091 99567.278773
2025-08-03 209.094069 363.964223 678.660613 1474.097868 3944.597081 14488.939949 124683.496642
2025-08-10 205.956274 362.764108 687.094185 1528.226525 4250.351362 16757.470517 175429.907409